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Site update - 10 July 2008

Much to the disappointment of the 'Liverpool-Kop sucks!' brigade, this site is still very much alive. The lack of recent articles is purely down to the fact that there is simply nothing interesting to write about at the moment!

It's hardly been an inspiring summer so far; Gareth Barry saga? *yawn* Dossena and Degen sign on? *yawn*. As usual, Rafa is trying to sign players we don't need and ignoring the real problem areas, i.e. Wingers and creative, attacking link-men.

But there's still hope for some excitement. Liverpool are after all linked with the likes of James Milner and Robbie Keane! Who could not be excited about qualilty signings like that?! JK
Showing posts with label Liverpool-Arsenal 10 year analysis. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Liverpool-Arsenal 10 year analysis. Show all posts

Monday, April 07, 2008

'It's Michael Thomas bursting through the midfield! It's up for grabs now!' Let's hope history doesn't repeat itself 19 years after *that* night

In May 1989, Arsenal had to come to Anfield and win by two clear goals to snatch the league title. At the time, it seemed impossible; Liverpool fans ridiculed the idea and no one really expected Arsenal to do it. We all know what happened next. Since that ill-fated night, Liverpool have played Arsenal 23 times at Anfield, and with tomorrow's game of a similar magnitude to the 1989 encounter, the game stats over the last 19 years make interesting reading.

Below is a list of every Liverpool-Arsenal game at Anfield since May 1989:






















































































































































26.11.1989


W


2 - 1


1st Division


03.03.1991


L


0 - 1


1st Division


29.01.1992


W


2 - 0


1st Division


23.08.1992


L


0 - 2


Premier League


02.10.1993


D


0 - 0


Premier League


28.08.1994


W


3 - 0


Premier League


11.01.1995


W


1 - 0


League Cup 5th round


23.12.1995


W


3 - 1


Premier League


19.08.1996


W


2 - 0


Premier League


27.11.1996


W


4 - 2


League Cup 4th round


06.05.1998


W


4 - 0


Premier League


22.08.1998


D


0 - 0


Premier League


28.08.1999


W


2 - 0


Premier League


23.12.2000


W


4 - 0


Premier League


23.12.2001


L


1 - 2


Premier League


29.01.2003


D


2 - 2


Premier League


04.10.2003


L


1 - 2


Premier League


28.11.2004


W


2 - 1


Premier League


14.02.2006


W


1 - 0


Premier League


06.01.2007


L


1 - 3


FA Cup 3rd round


09.01.2007


L


3 - 6


League Cup 5th round


31.03.2007


W


4 - 1


Premier League


28.10.2007


D


1 - 1


Premier League


Played


Won


Lost


Drawn


Goals for


Goals Against


Goals per game


23


13


6


4


43


25


2.9 per game



Overall, Liverpool look like they’re in good shape, however, the figures reveal that

1. In the last 5 games, Liverpool have won only twice at Anfield.
2. The last 2 defeats have been in knock-out cup competitions.
3. Liverpool have conceded 11 goals in the last 5 games.
4. In the 10 games prior to that, Liverpool conceded only 9 goals.

If we consider the above results in the context of the last 10 games home AND away against Arsenal, things look a little bleaker, with Arsenal winning 5, Liverpool winning 2 and three draws rounding out the 10.

Going into the 1989 game at Anfield, Liverpool had been on a 17 game unbeaten streak and were overwhelming favourites to clinch the title.

The current Liverpool side does not a record as impressive as that, but with only 3 games lost in the last 20 - and two arguably comfortable games against Arsenal in the last week - Liverpool are widely considered to be favourites to go through to the next round.

The favourites tag carries even more weight given the club's superb European pedigree under Rafael Benitez. However, as Benfica proved in 2006, it’s perfectly possible to come to Anfield and win in the knockout stages of the Champions League.

This season, Liverpool have played Arsenal 3 times so far, and all 3 games have been 1-1 draws. In the last 19 years, there has never been 3 straight draws (across seasons) against Arsenal, so the probability of there being another draw is slim at best.

In the Champions League, Liverpool seem to be at their best when they’re considered to be the underdogs. The entire CL winning season in 2004/5 is testament to this, as are the victories against the likes of Barcelona and Inter Milan.

Against Arsenal, they are also considered favourites, which may not suit the team as much. Indeed, countless players have been overconfident in the press leading up to the trilogy, pontificating about how Liverpool‘have no fear’ etc. This could potentially come back to haunt them.

With Arsenal’s premiership hopes grinding to a halt over the last few weeks, their only realistic chance of silverware this season is the Champions league, so they will be ridiculously motivated to win the game.

And recent history proves that they can come to Anfield and win, and do so emphatically, and I am sure they will be buoyed by that

Having said that, Fernando Torres loves playing at Anfield, and if he scores at any point in the game, then Arsenal can forget it. 22 of Torres' 28 goals this season have come at home, and when Torres scores Liverpool do not lose.

Ultimately, Arsenal have proved that it’s possible to come to Anfield and win in the most hopeless, pressurized circumstances. To counteract that, Liverpool need a big performance tomorrow night, full of positive attacking intent and real desire to win.

Playing for a draw is not going to cut it, especially with Arsenal knowing it's win or bust. If Liverpool go the negative cautious route, as they have so often under benitez, history just might repeat itself.

Read full article >>>

Sunday, March 30, 2008

Liverpool vs Arsenal - Who has the edge going into this week's trilogy?

Liverpool have played Arsenal 26 times over the last ten years, but with three crucial, season defining games on the horizon, which team has the best record and, by extension, the statistically better chance of emerging victorious?

Below is a table detailing every Liverpool-Arsenal game over the last ten years:













































































































































































































30.11.1997


W


1 - 0


Highbury


Premier League


06.05.1998


W


4 - 0


Anfield


Premier League


22.08.1998


D


0 - 0


Anfield


Premier League


09.01.1999


D


0 - 0


Highbury


Premier League






13.02.2000


W


1 - 0


Highbury


Premier League


21.08.2000


L


0 - 2


Highbury


Premier League


23.12.2000


W


4 - 0


Anfield


Premier League


12.05.2001


W


2 - 1


Millennium St.


FA Cup Final


23.12.2001


L


1 - 2


Anfield


Premier League


13.01.2002


D


1 - 1


Highbury


Premier League


27.01.2002


L


0 - 1


Highbury


FA Cup 4th round


11.08.2002


L


0 - 1


Millennium St.


Charity Shield


29.12.2002


D


1 - 1


Highbury


Premier League


29.01.2003


D


2 - 2


Anfield


Premier League


04.10.2003


L


1 - 2


Anfield


Premier League


09.04.2004


L


2 - 4


Highbury


Premier League


28.11.2004


W


2 - 1


Anfield


Premier League


08.05.2005


L


1 - 3


Highbury


Premier League


14.02.2006


W


1 - 0


Anfield


Premier League


12.03.2006


L


1 - 2


Highbury


Premier League


12.11.2006


L


0 - 3


Emirates


Premier League


06.01.2007


L


1 - 3


Anfield


FA Cup 3rd round


09.01.2007


L


3 - 6


Anfield


League Cup 5th round


31.03.2007


W


4 - 1


Anfield


Premier League


28.10.2007


D


1 - 1


Anfield


Premier League


Total over the last 10 years


Total
Games


Win
(Home)


Win (Away


Lose (Home


Lose (Away)


Draws (Home)


Draws (Away)


Goals (For)


Goals (Against)


25


5


3


4


7


3


3


34


37


8 wins


11 defeats


6 draws


71 (2.7 per game)



Overall, there isn’t much separating the two teams. However, during Rafa's reign, Liverpool have:

1. Only managed a measly three victories over Arsenal during Rafa's reign. The other six meetings led to five defeats and one draw.

2. Lost four of the last six meetings, conceding 16 goals along the way.

3. Failed to beat Arsenal at Anfield in the last four attempts.

Additionally, over the last 10 years, Liverpool have:

4. Not beaten Arsenal away since February 2000 – eight years ago.

5. Failed to win 18 of the last 26 games against Arsenal in all competition – that’s failure to win in 70% of games.

On a purely statistical analysis, it looks bleak! However, Liverpool is the form team in the premiership at the moment, and Arsenal’s form is stuttering, with one win in six games seeing them relinquish their lead at the top of the table.

Liverpool on the other hand are undergoing a mini-resurgence - seven straight victories has seen the team shoot up the premiership table to within 8 points of the lead. As a result, confidence is flowing, which now being arguably the best time to face Arsenal.

Having said all that, when Arsenal came to Anfield earlier in the season, they put Liverpool to shame with a stunning display of pass and move brilliance – the kind of football Liverpool used to be associated with.

Arsenal have been superb for much of the season, and Wenger has instilled a steel will in the team that never used to be there. They will definitely be up for upcoming games against Liverpool, and statistically speaking, they have to be favourites to do well over the three games.

Much will depend on how Liverpool play – will it be the creatively bereft, defensive-minded anti-football that has afflicted the team at various stages throughout the season, or will it be the free-flowing, free-scoring team that was doing so well before the Manchester United debacle? Only time will tell.

My predictions:

Wednesday, 02 April 2008
Champions League Qtr Final 1st Leg (Emirates)
Defeat

Saturday, 05 April 2008
Barclays Premier League (Emirates)
Draw

Tuesday, 08 April 2008
Champions League Qtr Final 2nd Leg (Anfield)
Win

Read full article >>>

 
 
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